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Will | Kids and Money's avatar

Here's an analogy you might like. Do you believe that more stronger or weaker swimmers drown each year? The default for many is to say that more weaker swimmers drown. In fact, it's the stronger swimmer as they are more confident and therefore swim in deeper/risker waters.

This is similar to your point. More data can lead to people becoming more confident (stronger swimmers) which means they take more risk (swim in deeper water) and end up worse off (drown).

Anthony B's avatar

This resonates so deeply! As someone who used to get completely buried in the spreadsheets and endless market tickers, I realized all that complexity was just feeding my anxiety.

Your point about Hick’s Law is spot on. I eventually stripped everything back to a minimalist "dual mandate" system:

half pure growth ETFs and half covered call ETFs for monthly cash flow.

Having just two core pillars completely cleared the clutter from my mind.

Because the system is so simple and the monthly cash flow is consistent, I can easily stick to the golden rule of doing absolutely nothing during market dips.

Thank you for sharing this reminder—simplicity really is the ultimate financial cheat code!

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